FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
0 - 1
Tranmere

Davies (25'), Appiah (69'), Francillette (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McManaman (38')
Nevitt (3'), Clarke (89'), Dieseruvwe (90+1')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Crawley Town and Tranmere Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
26.09%	26.45%	47.46%

Both teams to score 48.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.46%

55.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29%

76.71%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.33%

36.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.54%

73.46%

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59%

23.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6%

57.4%

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 26.09%

Tranmere Rovers 47.46%

Draw 26.45%

Crawley Town	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 8.61% 2-1 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.09%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 12.46% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 9.05% 1-3 @ 4.39% 0-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.7% Total : 47.46%