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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Exeter City |
24.71% | 25.02% | 50.27% |
Both teams to score 51.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.96% | 51.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% | 72.89% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.59% | 35.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.83% | 72.16% |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% | 20.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.31% | 52.69% |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 7.47% 2-1 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2% Total : 24.71% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 5.04% 0-3 @ 4.85% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |