Hartlepool

1 - 1

Exeter

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.