Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 31.63% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Arouca win is 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.01%).
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Gil Vicente |
31.63% ( 1.73) | 27.62% ( 0.83) | 40.76% ( -2.55) |
Both teams to score 48.24% ( -1.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.63% ( -2.53) | 57.38% ( 2.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.81% ( -2.05) | 78.19% ( 2.06) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.66% ( -0.07) | 33.34% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.04% ( -0.08) | 69.97% ( 0.08) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.37% ( -2.51) | 27.63% ( 2.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.83% ( -3.36) | 63.17% ( 3.36) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.91) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.62% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.45) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |