While Santa Clara have kicked off the campaign on a strong note, it has been a topsy-turvy start to the season for Gil Vicente and they will be looking to continue from where they left off in the cup and build a fine run of form.
However, Santa Clara have been rock-solid on home turf, and considering the Gilistas' form on their travels is currently nothing to write home about, we are backing them to come away with the desired result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Santa Clara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
-0.06) 
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