Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 36%. A win for Santa Clara has a probability of 35.9% and a draw has a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Santa Clara win is 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.19%).