Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
20.91% ( -0.01) | 22.75% ( 0.01) | 56.34% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.93% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.52% ( -0.05) | 45.48% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.19% ( -0.05) | 67.81% ( 0.05) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( -0.04) | 35.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.38% ( -0.04) | 72.61% ( 0.03) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.05% ( -0.02) | 15.95% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.77% ( -0.04) | 45.22% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 20.91% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 56.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 15 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
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