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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Estrela Amadora

Benfica
1 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Kokcu (19')
Kokcu (34'), Fernandez (36'), Gouveia (59'), Sanches (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luiz (36'), dos Santos Santana (72'), Cordeiro (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Famalicao
Monday, August 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-0 Estrela Amadora

 It is hard not to expect anything other than a routine victory for Benfica on Saturday. Not only are the hosts on an impressive winning sequence on their turf, but Estrela's away blues have seemingly been carried over into the 2024-25 season, pointing to a seventh straight loss against the Eagles at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawEstrela Amadora
79.92% (0.039999999999992 0.04) 12.77% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 7.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.31% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.7% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.29% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)51.55% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)5.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.46% (0.013999999999996 0.01)22.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.46% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)46.54% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.86% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)82.14% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 79.91%
    Estrela Amadora 7.31%
    Draw 12.77%
BenficaDrawEstrela Amadora
2-0 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.35% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.17% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.97% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 79.91%
1-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 3.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 12.77%
1-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 7.31%

How you voted: Benfica vs Estrela Amadora

Benfica
86.9%
Draw
9.8%
Estrela Amadora
3.3%
61
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 19
Estrela Amadora
1-4
Benfica
Jaba (28')
N'do (45+2')
N'do (71')
Cabral (44'), Silva (45+1'), Otamendi (52'), Leonardo (90+3')
di Maria (41')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Benfica
2-0
Estrela Amadora
Tengstedt (79'), Silva (90+3')
Neves (37'), Mario (44'), Cabral (50')

Omorwa (11'), Mansur (55'), Ciriaco Santos (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Estrela Amadora
2-3
Benfica
Silva (22'), Rodrigues (90+5')
Musa (13'), Chiquinho (29' pen.), Draxler (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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