Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 29, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
1 - 4
Benfica

Jaba (28')
N'do (45+2')
N'do (71')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Cabral (44'), Silva (45+1'), Otamendi (52'), Leonardo (90+3')
di Maria (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Estoril (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Estrela Amadora 0-2 Benfica

Benfica will be eager to put their midweek cup disappointment behind them with a positive result here and will see this as a good opportunity to place some pressure on Sporting, who take on Casa Pia later in the day. Estrela have failed to win any of their last five league games, and we feel they will see their winless record extended in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 9.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 0-3 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Benfica
9.65% ( -0.01)	16.63% ( 0.15)	73.72% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 45.99% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.67% (

-0.77)

41.33% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.27% (

-0.78)

63.73% (

0.78)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.94% (

-0.54)

49.06% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16% (

-0.38)

83.99% (

0.38)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.29% (

-0.23)

9.71% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.65% (

-0.54)

32.35% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 9.65%

Benfica 73.71%

Draw 16.63%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 9.65%	1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 16.63%	0-2 @ 12.95% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 10.07% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 4.18% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.35% Total : 73.71%