MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 19:22:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Benfica

Arouca
0 - 3
Benfica


Montero (14'), Kouassi (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (39'), Kokcu (47'), Musa (85')
Cabral (72'), Luis (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Arouca
Thursday, December 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Famalicao
Friday, December 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-2 Benfica

 Arouca look like a new side under Daniel Sousa and have rattled off wins over Boavista, Gil Vicente, and Estrela in recent weeks, which would have done wonders for their confidence. However, Benfica is a much better side than the hosts have faced recently, and while The Eagles are short-handed heading into this contest, we fancy them to grind out another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBenfica
15.78% (0.093999999999999 0.09) 20.08% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 64.13% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)41.82% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)64.22% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.56% (0.064 0.06)39.44% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86% (0.058999999999997 0.06)76.13% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)12.34% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.83% (-0.144 -0.14)38.16% (0.145 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 15.78%
    Benfica 64.13%
    Draw 20.08%
AroucaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 4.53% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.11% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 15.78%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.08%
0-2 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 7.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 64.13%

How you voted: Arouca vs Benfica

Arouca
19.0%
Draw
2.4%
Benfica
78.6%
42
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Arouca
0-2
Benfica

Montero (25'), Fernandes (39'), Kouassi (57')
Di Maria (26'), Cabral (74')
Silva (35'), Guedes (45')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Arouca
0-3
Benfica
Mario (25', 54'), Musa (80')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Benfica
4-0
Arouca
Gilberto (8'), Silva (42', 86'), Fernandez (45+6')
Luis (55'), Weigl (82'), Silva (83')

Opoku (1')
Quaresma (45+1')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
Arouca
0-2
Benfica

Adilio (46'), Moreira (56'), Quaresma (90+1'), Ba (90+3'), Kouassi (90+5')
Nunez (32' pen.), Ramos (90+2')
Grimaldo (43')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 2
Benfica
2-0
Arouca
Waldschmidt (38'), Yaremchuk (44')
Rodrigues (85')

Hugo Silva Braga (8')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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