Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
2 - 2
Boavista

Cristo (39'), Santos (105+5' pen.)
Kouassi (38'), Milovanov (58'), Trezza (95'), Santos (110')

FT
(aet)

Bozenik (62'), Lourenco (106')
Onyemaechi (18'), Morais (37'), Awaziem (46'), Lourenco (49'), Bozenik (78'), Berna (105+2'), Vukotic (120')

Arouca win 4-3 on penalties

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Arouca and Boavista.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Braga
Sunday, November 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boavista

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Boavista 1-3 Farense
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%).

Result
Arouca	Draw	Boavista
28.52% ( -1.21)	24.43% ( -0.55)	47.04% ( 1.75)

Both teams to score 56.62% (

1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.2% (

1.73)

45.79% (

-1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.89% (

1.62)

68.11% (

-1.62)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

0.03)

29.61% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.35% (

0.03)

65.64% (

-0.04)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

1.45)

19.56% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52% (

2.32)

51.48% (

-2.33)

Score Analysis

Arouca 28.52%

Boavista 47.04%

Draw 24.43%

Arouca	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.52%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.04%