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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Arouca

Farense
2 - 0
Arouca

Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Simao (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-2 Farense
Thursday, November 2 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: SC Farense 3-1 Arouca

 Farense have been involved in some high-scoring encounters of late, and this fixture has produced goals, with 14 in the three previous meetings. When the two sides met in the second tier in 2018-19, the scores ended 2-2 and 3-3, but with Arouca woefully out of form, they may come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawArouca
34.42% (1.192 1.19) 26.48% (0.312 0.31) 39.1% (-1.505 -1.51)
Both teams to score 52.44% (-0.745 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (-1.068 -1.07)52.36% (1.067 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (-0.927 -0.93)74.05% (0.92500000000001 0.93)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.23200000000001 0.23)28.94% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (0.289 0.29)64.83% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-1.294 -1.29)26.2% (1.292 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (-1.763 -1.76)61.29% (1.762 1.76)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 34.42%
    Arouca 39.09%
    Draw 26.47%
SC FarenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.315 0.32)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.09%

How you voted: Farense vs Arouca

SC Farense
76.5%
Draw
14.7%
Arouca
8.8%
34
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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