Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
We said: Famalicao 2-1 SC Farense
Buoyed by their resounding victory over Chaves, Farense will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they look to build on that result. Despite Famalicao's recent struggles, they boast a superior and more experienced squad than the visitors and we see them snatching a narrow win in front of their home fans.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.44% . A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 23.25% .
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.41%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%) , while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (6.92%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result Famalicao Draw SC Farense 52.44% ( 0.05) 24.31% ( -0.01) 23.25% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.02)
50.56% ( 0) 49.43% ( -0.01)
28.52% ( 0) 71.47% ( -0.01)
81.18% ( 0.02) 18.81% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.75% ( 0.03) 50.25% ( -0.04)
64.17% ( -0.04) 35.82% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.4% ( -0.04) 72.6% ( 0.03)
Famalicao 52.44%
SC Farense 23.25%
Draw 24.3%
Famalicao Draw SC Farense 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.44% 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.3% 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.25%
Oct 18, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Farense
3-3
Famalicao
Ferreira dos Santos (4'),
Cesar (25'), Mansilla (90+4')
Pinto (45'), Ferreira dos Santos (49')
Lameiras (64' pen., 73'),
Jordao (81')
Alberto Herrera Hernandez (60')
Alberto Herrera Hernandez (88')
rhs 2.0
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