Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 0
Farense

Cadiz (79')
Aranda (20')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oliveira (24'), Falcao (37'), Matias (54')
Muscat (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Famalicao 2-1 SC Farense

Buoyed by their resounding victory over Chaves, Farense will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they look to build on that result. Despite Famalicao's recent struggles, they boast a superior and more experienced squad than the visitors and we see them snatching a narrow win in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	SC Farense
52.44% ( 0.05)	24.31% ( -0.01)	23.25% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.1% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

49.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

71.47% (

-0.01)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

0.02)

18.81% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75% (

0.03)

50.25% (

-0.04)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.17% (

-0.04)

35.82% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4% (

-0.04)

72.6% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 52.44%

SC Farense 23.25%

Draw 24.3%

Famalicao	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.44%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.25%