Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 20, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
2 - 4
Porto

Jaime (33'), Colombatto (44' pen.)
Junior (6'), Rodrigues (26'), Colombatto (45+1'), Youssouf (66'), Otavio (73')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Taremi (7' pen., 10', 67' pen., 75' pen.)
Taremi (18'), Pepe (42'), Otavio (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto will be licking their lips as they take on an out-of-sorts Famalicao side who have suffered a disappointing late-season form. The Dragoes are currently firing on all cylinders as they have their eyes on the prize and we are backing them to pick up their 10th straight win since the start of April. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.66%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Porto
16.02% ( -0.1)	21.74% ( 0.01)	62.24% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.23% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.43% (

-0.22)

48.58% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3% (

-0.2)

70.7% (

0.2)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.77% (

-0.26)

43.23% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.52% (

-0.22)

79.49% (

0.22)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.95% (

-0.04)

15.05% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.45% (

-0.08)

43.56% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 16.02%

Porto 62.23%

Draw 21.74%

Famalicao	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.02%	1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.74%	0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.66% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 62.23%