Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
We said: Famalicao 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
While Famalicao have hit their stride at the business end of the season, Guimaraes have suffered a drop-off in form, with their European quest now hanging in the balance. Given their contrasting form, we are backing the Vila Nova to pick up where they dropped off on Friday and come away with all three points once again.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.05% . A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 24.09% .
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.28%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.06%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result Famalicao Draw Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.05% ( -0.59) 25.86% ( 0.04) 24.09% ( 0.55)
Both teams to score 48.41% ( 0.43)
45.24% ( 0.27) 54.75% ( -0.28)
23.93% ( 0.23) 76.07% ( -0.23)
78.08% ( -0.14) 21.91% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.82% ( -0.21) 55.18% ( 0.21)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
61.99% ( 0.66) 38% ( -0.66)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.22% ( 0.63) 74.77% ( -0.63)
Famalicao 50.05%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 24.09%
Draw 25.85%
Famalicao Draw Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.05% 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.85% 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.61% Total : 24.09%
How you voted: Famalicao vs Guimaraes
Famalicao
Draw
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
16.7%
18
rhs 2.0
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
1
Charlton, Rooney, Ronaldo: Greatest Man United players of all time
2
Chelsea vs. Fulham - prediction, team news, lineups
3
Phillips to replace suspended captain? Predicted Ipswich XI against Arsenal
4
Fulham out to end 45-year wait in Chelsea clash
5
Man City vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups
6
Wolves vs. Man Utd - prediction, team news, lineups
7
Could Madueke return to the fold? Chelsea predicted lineup vs. Fulham
8
Man City back on track as Man United disappoint: Premier League GW18 predictions
9
Fleetwood vs. Chesterfield - prediction, team news, lineups
10
St Mirren vs. Rangers - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Rugby Union Stories
Preview: Ireland vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: England vs. Japan - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Scotland vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Wales vs. South Africa - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Italy vs. New Zealand - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Basketball Stories
Preview: Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Atlanta Hawks vs. Memphis Grizzlies - prediction, team news, form guide