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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Famalicao
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Cadiz (10'), Moura (70')
Youssouf (45+2')
Riccieli (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva (64')
Silva (19'), Tounkara (25'), Safira (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Famalicao
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

While Famalicao have hit their stride at the business end of the season, Guimaraes have suffered a drop-off in form, with their European quest now hanging in the balance. Given their contrasting form, we are backing the Vila Nova to pick up where they dropped off on Friday and come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result
FamalicaoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
50.05% (-0.59 -0.59) 25.86% (0.044 0.04) 24.09% (0.545 0.55)
Both teams to score 48.41% (0.427 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (0.275 0.27)54.75% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (0.228 0.23)76.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.142 -0.14)21.91% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (-0.214 -0.21)55.18% (0.212 0.21)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (0.658 0.66)38% (-0.659 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.629 0.63)74.77% (-0.631 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 50.05%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 24.09%
    Draw 25.85%
FamalicaoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.64% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.122 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 24.09%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Guimaraes

Famalicao
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 8.15pm
Guimaraes
3-2
Famalicao
Johnston (21'), Luz (56', 65')
Luz (31')
Millan (74', 83')
Mar 6, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
2-1
Famalicao
Estupinan (45+1'), Rochinha (47')
Silva (4'), Semedo (34'), Lameiras (65'), Soares (74'), Almeida (88')
Pepe (6')
Batubinsika (37'), Tavares (90+3')
Oct 1, 2021 9.15pm
Famalicao
1-2
Guimaraes
Banza (5')
Pickel (63'), Figueiras (75')
Estupinan (34'), Edwards (59')
Sacko (26'), Borevkovic (38'), Rochinha (42'), Andre (62'), Varela (89')
May 12, 2021 8.15pm
Guimaraes
1-2
Famalicao
Duarte (6')
Pepelu (68'), Andre (69'), Quaresma (90+2')
Kraev (21'), Tavares (85')
Babic (35'), Queiros (60'), Ugarte (66'), Rodrigues (69')
Jan 24, 2021 8.15pm
Famalicao
0-1
Guimaraes

Ugarte (68'), Pereyra (90+4')
Almeida (12')
Estupinan (16'), Almeida (55'), Fernandes (86'), Wakaso (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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