Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Mar 3, 2023 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 0
Famalicao

Ramos (36', 90+3')
Otamendi (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Youssouf (61'), Sa (73'), Aguirregabiria (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, February 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Benfica 3-0 Famalicao

While Famalicao will look to keep the ball rolling, they face a Benfica side who have been near impenetrable on home turf this season. As Aguias have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we are backing them to ease to another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.04%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 6.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Famalicao
82.04% ( -1.25)	11.7% ( 0.7)	6.27% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 48.72% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.81% (

-1.23)

29.18% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.8% (

-1.51)

50.2% (

1.51)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.71% (

-0.44)

5.29% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.17% (

-1.31)

20.83% (

1.31)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.44% (

0.7)

48.55% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.36% (

0.5)

83.63% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Benfica 82.03%

Famalicao 6.27%

Draw 11.7%

Benfica	Draw	Famalicao
2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.36) 5-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 7-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.72% Total : 82.03%	1-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.78% Total : 11.7%	1-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.44% Total : 6.27%