Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Sep 18, 2020 at 7pm UK

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 5
Benfica

Rodrigues (67')
Pereira (45')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Waldschmidt (19', 66'), Everton (21'), Grimaldo (42'), Silva (52')
Dias (27'), Gabriel (71')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Benfica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Benfica
18.78%	22.25%	58.96%

Both teams to score 52.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75%

46.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.45%

68.55%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.48%

38.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.73%

75.26%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66%

15.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.91%

44.09%

Score Analysis

Famalicao 18.78%

Benfica 58.96%

Draw 22.24%

Famalicao	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.64% 2-1 @ 5.04% 2-0 @ 2.69% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.31% Total : 18.78%	1-1 @ 10.56% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.24%	0-1 @ 11.07% 0-2 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-4 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 2.9% 2-4 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.14% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.96%