Benfica

2 - 1

Sporting Lisbon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Sporting Lisbon win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benfica in this match.