Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Jun 26, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
Estadio Nacional do Jamor
Belenenses1 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Sporting Lisbon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 21.04% | 23% | 55.96% |
| Both teams to score 53.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% | 46.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.33% | 68.67% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% | 36.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.99% | 73.01% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% | 16.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.96% | 46.04% |
| Score Analysis |
Belenenses 21.04%
Sporting Lisbon 55.95%
Draw 22.99%
| Belenenses | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.03% 2-1 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.04% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.71% 1-3 @ 5.94% 0-3 @ 5.85% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 2.69% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.36% 1-5 @ 0.97% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.22% Total : 55.95% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
