Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Jun 26, 2020 at 7.15pm UK

Estadio Nacional do Jamor

Belenenses
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Lica (9')
Santos (21'), Sithole (34'), Koffi (45+1'), Dieguinho (84')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Coates (21'), Cabral (36', 45+2' pen.)
Plata (80')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Sporting Lisbon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
21.04%	23%	55.96%

Both teams to score 53.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.61%

46.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.33%

68.67%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.77%

36.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.99%

73.01%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6%

16.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.96%

46.04%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 21.04%

Sporting Lisbon 55.95%

Draw 22.99%

Belenenses	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.03% 2-1 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.04%	1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.71% 1-3 @ 5.94% 0-3 @ 5.85% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 2.69% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.36% 1-5 @ 0.97% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.22% Total : 55.95%