Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.78%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
16.11% | 22.05% | 61.84% |
Both teams to score 47.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% | 49.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.32% | 71.68% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.23% | 43.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.06% | 79.93% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% | 15.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% | 44.47% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 5.62% 2-1 @ 4.32% 2-0 @ 2.32% 3-1 @ 1.19% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.55% Total : 16.11% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 12.66% 0-2 @ 11.78% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 6.04% 0-4 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-5 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.16% 1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.1% Total : 61.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |