Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 28, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Bastia2 - 0Dunkerque
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Dunkerque.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bastia | Draw | Dunkerque |
53.44% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( -0) | 20.94% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.47% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.27% ( 0.03) | 56.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.32% ( 0.02) | 77.68% ( -0.02) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( 0.01) | 21.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.78% ( 0.02) | 54.22% ( -0.01) |
| Dunkerque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.77% ( 0.03) | 42.23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.37% ( 0.03) | 78.63% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Bastia 53.42%
Dunkerque 20.94%
Draw 25.61%
| Bastia | Draw | Dunkerque |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.42% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.09% Total : 20.94% |
How you voted: Bastia vs Dunkerque
Bastia
50.0%Draw
25.0%Dunkerque
25.0%16
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Dunkerque
2-1
Bastia
Bammou (65' pen.), Foungognan Sekongo (83')
Boutrah (36')
Jose Guevara Possu (44'), Loic Onana Etoga (60')
Jose Guevara Possu (44'), Loic Onana Etoga (60')
Apr 6, 2024 6pm
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
