Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
64.06% | 21.71% | 14.22% |
Both teams to score 44.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.3% | 51.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.53% | 73.47% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% | 15.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.6% | 44.39% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.36% | 47.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.04% | 82.96% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 13.76% 2-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 5.91% 4-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.96% Total : 64.05% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.48% 1-2 @ 3.79% 0-2 @ 2.03% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2% Total : 14.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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