Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Jun 4, 2020 at 9.15pm UK

Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Carlos Teixeira (32'), Edwards (68')
Bondarenko (21'), Amoah (23'), Carlos Teixeira (45+1')
Amoah (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sporar (18', 52')
Battaglia (34'), Nunes (40')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
45.6%	25.64%	28.76%

Both teams to score 52.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.21%

50.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.32%

72.68%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75%

22.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.32%

55.68%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99%

32.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52%

68.48%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 45.6%

Sporting Lisbon 28.76%

Draw 25.64%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.6%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.76%