Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 9.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.