Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.62%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 6.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.