Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round

Sep 15, 2020 at 7pm UK

Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
2 - 1
Benfica

Giannoulis (63'), Zivkovic (75')
Pelkas (1'), Varela (29'), Michailidis (45'), Schwab (79'), Esiti (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (90+4')
Almeida (44')

Coverage of the Champions League Third Qualifying Round clash between PAOK and Benfica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest PAOK win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
PAOK	Draw	Benfica
28.86%	23.27%	47.86%

Both teams to score 60.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.73%

40.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.36%

62.63%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44%

26.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.23%

61.76%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.92%

17.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.73%

47.26%

Score Analysis

PAOK 28.86%

Benfica 47.86%

Draw 23.26%

PAOK	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 7.05% 1-0 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 3.99% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.86%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 9.39% 0-1 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 5.53% 0-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 2.44% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 4.09% Total : 47.86%