Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round

Aug 25, 2020 at 7pm UK

Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
3 - 1
Besiktas

Tzolis (7', 24'), Pelkas (30')
Michailidis (22'), Ingi Ingason (45+1'), El Kaddouri (63'), Pelkas (69')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Larin (37')
N'Sakala (11')

Coverage of the Champions League Second Qualifying Round clash between PAOK and Besiktas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOK	Draw	Besiktas
47.64%	23.45%	28.92%

Both teams to score 60.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.97%

41.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.58%

63.42%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54%

17.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.07%

47.94%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1%

26.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.78%

62.23%

Score Analysis

PAOK 47.64%

Besiktas 28.92%

Draw 23.44%

PAOK	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 9.39% 1-0 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.91% Total : 47.64%	1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 7.07% 0-1 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.92%