Champions League | Second Qualifying Round
Aug 25, 2020 at 7pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
PAOK3 - 1Besiktas
Tzolis (7', 24'), Pelkas (30')
Michailidis (22'), Ingi Ingason (45+1'), El Kaddouri (63'), Pelkas (69')
Michailidis (22'), Ingi Ingason (45+1'), El Kaddouri (63'), Pelkas (69')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the Champions League Second Qualifying Round clash between PAOK and Besiktas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Besiktas |
| 47.64% | 23.45% | 28.92% |
| Both teams to score 60.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
