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Benfica
Taca de Portugal | Final
Aug 1, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Porto

Benfica
1 - 2
Porto

Vinicius (84' pen.)
Dias (12'), Jardel (44'), Weigl (46'), Vinicius (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mbemba (47', 58')
Diaz (9'), Telles (90'), Telles (90')
Diaz (38')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Final clash between Benfica and Porto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Porto had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawPorto
49.93%22.45%27.62%
Both teams to score 62.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.8%37.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.6%59.4%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8%15.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.18%43.82%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18%25.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22%60.78%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 49.93%
    Porto 27.62%
    Draw 22.44%
BenficaDrawPorto
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 4.01%
4-1 @ 2.79%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 49.93%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 3.92%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-1 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 1.62%
1-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.62%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 20
Porto
3-2
Benfica
Oliveira (10'), Telles (38' pen.), Dias (44' og.)
Otavio (27'), Tiquinho (38'), Oliveira (84'), Marchesin (86')
Vinicius (18', 50')
Taarabt (27'), Weigl (30'), Ferro (37'), Pizzi (45'), Vlachodimos (64'), Lage (98')
Aug 24, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 3
Benfica
0-2
Porto

Taarabt (80'), Seferovic (83')
Luis (22'), Marega (86')
Marchesin (41'), Pereira (64'), Luis (73'), Diaz (81'), Telles (83')
Mar 2, 2019 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
1-2
Benfica
Lopez (18')
Otavio (77'), Felipe (80')
Felix (26'), Silva (52')
Dias (16'), Ferro (54'), Samaris (59'), Gabriel (76'), Vlachodimos (89')
Gabriel (77')
Oct 7, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Benfica
1-0
Porto
Seferovic (62')
Grimaldo (9'), Lema (32'), Silva (75')
Lema (82')

Casillas (19'), Otavio (47'), Pereira (56'), Herrera (59'), Brahimi (77')
Apr 15, 2018 6pm
Benfica
0-1
Porto

Almeida (62'), Grimaldo (81')
Herrera (90')
Oliveira (39'), Otavio (59'), Telles (72'), Herrera (92')
rhs 2.0
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