Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Jul 9, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
Estadio Joao Cardoso
Tondela1 - 3Porto
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Porto.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.05%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Porto |
| 12.88% | 20.41% | 66.71% |
| Both teams to score 44.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% | 49.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% | 71.34% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.74% | 48.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.58% | 83.41% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% | 13.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.7% | 41.3% |
| Score Analysis |
Tondela 12.88%
Porto 66.69%
Draw 20.41%
| Tondela | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 4.88% 2-1 @ 3.51% 2-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.7% Total : 12.88% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.61% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 13.22% 0-2 @ 13.05% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 8.6% 1-3 @ 6.26% 0-4 @ 4.24% 1-4 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-5 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.41% Total : 66.69% |
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2019 8.15pm
Jan 19, 2018 9pm
