Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Famalicao win it was 2-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.