Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 7.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (11.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.