Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.53%) and 3-0 (12.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.