Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.