Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Jun 4, 2020 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Maritimo

Maritimo
1 - 1
Setubal

Pinho (11')
Pinho (49'), Correa (54'), Ferreira (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guedes (82')
Carlinhos (90+7')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Vitoria de Setubal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Vitoria de Setubal
39.26%	27.35%	33.39%

Both teams to score 49.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.99%

56.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9%

77.1%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18%

27.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59%

63.41%

Vitoria de Setubal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57%

31.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2%

67.81%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 39.26%

Vitoria de Setubal 33.39%

Draw 27.34%

Maritimo	Draw	Vitoria de Setubal
1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.26%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.39%