Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
39.4% | 27.53% | 33.08% |
Both teams to score 48.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.26% | 56.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.31% | 77.69% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% | 28.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% | 63.76% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% | 32.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.53% | 68.48% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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