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Sporting Lisbon
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 22, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
vs.
Amarante

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Taca de Portugal clash between Sporting Lisbon and Amarante, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 2-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 10 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Amarante

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Amarante 6-1 Juventude Lajense
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

We say: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Amarante

 While Amarante have breezed through the opening three rounds, they have been handed arguably the toughest challenge in the fourth round and will look to show their mettle against the best side in the country. However, given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides, we are backing Sporting Lisbon to run riot at the Estadio Jose Alvalade on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 92.5%. A draw has a probability of 5.8% and a win for Amarante has a probability of 1.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 3-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 4-0 (12.7%) and 2-0 (11.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (2.72%), while for an Amarante win it is 0-1 (0.76%).

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawAmarante
92.5% (0.565 0.56) 5.75% (-0.332 -0.33) 1.74% (-0.229 -0.23)
Both teams to score 32.41% (-2.118 -2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.82% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)24.17% (0.187 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.17% (-0.246 -0.25)43.83% (0.249 0.25)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.18% (0.062000000000012 0.06)2.82% (-0.059 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.12% (0.21299999999999 0.21)12.87% (-0.209 -0.21)
Amarante Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.35% (-2.2 -2.2)66.65% (2.204 2.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.31% (-0.931 -0.93)93.69% (0.93499999999999 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 92.5%
    Amarante 1.74%
    Draw 5.75%
Sporting LisbonDrawAmarante
3-0 @ 14.23% (0.43 0.43)
4-0 @ 12.7% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 11.96% (0.29 0.29)
5-0 @ 9.07% (0.374 0.37)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.292 -0.29)
6-0 @ 5.39% (0.253 0.25)
4-1 @ 5.15% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-1 @ 4.85% (-0.275 -0.28)
5-1 @ 3.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
7-0 @ 2.75% (0.145 0.15)
6-1 @ 2.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
8-0 @ 1.23% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.161 -0.16)
7-1 @ 1.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 92.5%
1-1 @ 2.72% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-0 @ 1.88% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 0.98% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 5.75%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 1.74%

Who will win Friday's Taca de Portugal clash between Sporting Lisbon and Amarante?

Sporting Lisbon
Draw
Amarante
Sporting Lisbon
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Amarante
0.0%
3
rhs 2.0
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