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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Sporting Lisbon

Braga
2 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

Horta (20', 45')
Ferreira (38'), Fernandes (45+3'), El Ouazzani (57'), Oliveira (68'), Martinez (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Morita (58'), Hjulmand (81'), Harder (89', 90+4')
Goncalves (13'), Diomande (53'), Hjulmand (80'), Tcherno Quenda (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elfsborg 1-1 Braga
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-1 Man City
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Braga 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

While Braga will be looking to secure their seventh league win and spoil Amorim's farewell, Sporting Lisbon boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to maintain their 100% Primeira Liga record with another dominant display at the Estadio Braga Municipal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Braga had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
31.61% (0.357 0.36) 25.12% (0.161 0.16) 43.28% (-0.519 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.08% (-0.386 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (-0.574 -0.57)47.29% (0.57299999999999 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (-0.536 -0.54)69.51% (0.535 0.53)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)28.25% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.064 -0.06)63.96% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.483 -0.48)21.84% (0.482 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.738 -0.74)55.06% (0.737 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Braga 31.61%
    Sporting Lisbon 43.28%
    Draw 25.11%
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.175 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.93% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.61%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.62% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.28%

How you voted: Braga vs Sporting Lisbon

Braga
7.8%
Draw
7.8%
Sporting Lisbon
84.4%
64
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 21
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Trincao (8'), Quaresma (18'), Gyokeres (71'), Braganca (73'), Santos (85')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Braga
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (65')
Moutinho (81')

Quaresma (15'), Gyokeres (45+1')
Sep 3, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')
Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')
Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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