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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Farense logo

Braga
2 - 0
Farense

Gharbi (41'), El Ouazzani (70')
Niakate (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Millan (56'), Neto (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Europa League

SC Farense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sanjoanense 2-4 Farense
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Braga 2-0 SC Farense

 Still licking their wounds from their Europa League defeat, Braga will head into the weekend looking to clean the dust off their feet and return to winning ways. While Farense have upped the ante of late, they have failed to win five of their last six games against Carvalhal's men — losing four and claiming one draw — and we see them struggling at the Estadio do Braga on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 11.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result
BragaDrawSC Farense
73.06% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19) 15.79% (0.025 0.03) 11.14% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 55.3% (0.528 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.61% (0.36800000000001 0.37)32.39% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.98% (0.42599999999999 0.43)54.01% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.34% (0.046999999999997 0.05)7.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.68% (0.124 0.12)27.32% (-0.125 -0.13)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88% (0.541 0.54)40.11% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (0.49 0.49)76.75% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Braga 73.06%
    SC Farense 11.14%
    Draw 15.79%
BragaDrawSC Farense
2-0 @ 10.13% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.1% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.046 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.026 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 73.06%
1-1 @ 7.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.07% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.79%
1-2 @ 3.29% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 11.14%

How you voted: Braga vs Farense

Braga
93.9%
Draw
6.1%
SC Farense
0.0%
33
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Braga
2-1
Farense
Banza (62'), Ndour (85')
Zalazar (45'), Fonte (63'), Djalo (73'), Magalhaes (89'), Niakate (90+6')
Belloumi (74')
Falcao (36'), Duarte (39'), Pastor (40')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
3-1
Braga
Duarte (31'), Costa (44'), Belloumi (58')
Silva (37'), Talocha (62'), Costa (71'), Jorge (90')
Banza (56')
Moutinho (37'), Ruiz (50'), Oliveira (83'), Zalazar (86'), Elmusrati (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
Farense
1-2
Braga
P (34')
Elmusrati (29'), Sporar (90+1')
Borja (49')
> Preview
Nov 29, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Braga
1-0
Farense
Elmusrati (87')
Carmo (3'), Fransergio (58'), Novais (79')

Oudrhiri (46'), Falcao (81'), Gauld (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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