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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Braga

Nacional
0 - 3
Braga


Dias (29'), Vitor (75'), Sousa (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Niakate (77'), Bruma (83'), El Ouazzani (85')
Gorby (25'), Ribeiro (27'), Ferreira (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 0-2 Braga

 Braga will be licking their lips as they go up against a Nacional side against whom they are unbeaten in their last 15 encounters since October 2013. Margarido's men have struggled to find their feet in the big leagues, and given the gulf in quality and depth between the two teams, we fancy Os Arcebispos to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBraga
20.35% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 22.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 57.62% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)43.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)65.41% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)34.99% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (-0.055 -0.05)71.73% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)42.84% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 20.35%
    Braga 57.62%
    Draw 22.02%
NacionalDrawBraga
2-1 @ 5.43% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.83% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20.35%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.45% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 6.05% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 57.62%

How you voted: Nacional vs Braga

Nacional
15.3%
Draw
4.2%
Braga
80.6%
72
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Nacional
1-3
Braga
Gomes (62')
Margarido (0'), Gustavo (70'), Esteves (74'), Witi (77')
Moutinho (16' pen.), Niakate (24'), Horta (44')
Niakate (45+4'), Moutinho (86')
> Preview
Apr 25, 2023 7.30pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Braga
2-2
Nacional
Racic (33' pen.), Gomes (48')
Clayton (72'), Dudu (90+3' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 12, 2023 7.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Nacional
0-5
Braga
Racic (25', 53'), Pizzi (43'), Banza (76' pen., 90+1')
> Preview
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 21
Nacional
1-2
Braga
Riascos (69')
Pedrao (59')
Fransergio (25'), Ruiz (29')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
2-1
Nacional
Fransergio (28'), Medeiros (42')
Sequeira (76')
Borges (86')
Ramos (31'), Kal (36'), Freitas (70'), Azouni (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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