Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
70.55% ( 0.06) | 17.58% ( -0.05) | 11.87% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.87% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.78% ( 0.23) | 39.21% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.45% ( 0.24) | 61.55% ( -0.25) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.07% ( 0.07) | 9.93% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.13% ( 0.18) | 32.86% ( -0.18) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.48% ( 0.14) | 43.51% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.27% ( 0.11) | 79.72% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 70.55% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.58% | 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.45% 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.26% Total : 11.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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