MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:57:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Estrela Amadora

Arouca
0 - 0
Estrela Amadora


Rocha (90')
FT

Varela (40'), Pinho (44'), Cordeiro (90+3'), Bucca (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-2 Arouca
Friday, April 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Farense
Monday, April 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Estrela Amadora

Arouca have been a real force to reckon with on their own patch of late, and they are huge favourites to get the job done here. We are backing the hosts to come away with maximum points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawEstrela Amadora
49.42% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39) 24.47% (0.109 0.11) 26.1% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 54.53% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.36% (-0.247 -0.25)47.64% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.16% (-0.228 -0.23)69.84% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (-0.254 -0.25)19.32% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.92% (-0.415 -0.41)51.08% (0.413 0.41)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (0.089999999999989 0.09)32.41% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (0.102 0.1)68.92% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 49.42%
    Estrela Amadora 26.1%
    Draw 24.47%
AroucaDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.42%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.089 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Arouca vs Estrela Amadora

Arouca
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Estrela Amadora
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Estrela Amadora
1-4
Arouca
Gaspar (11')
Dida (71')
Mujica (47'), Jason (77'), Montero (80'), Bukia (90+1')
Mujica (40'), Sylla (66'), De Arruabarrena (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!