Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
56.33% (![]() | 24% (![]() | 19.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.83% (![]() | 52.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.12% (![]() | 73.88% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.64% (![]() | 18.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.51% (![]() | 49.48% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.03% (![]() | 40.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.47% (![]() | 77.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 12.75% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.8% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 56.33% | 1-1 @ 11.37% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.71% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |