Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 24, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
1 - 1
Chaves

Tavares (45+5')
Vieira (27'), Santos (41'), Genezio (43')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hernandez (7')
Guimaraes (26'), Essugo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, February 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Boavista
Saturday, February 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Chaves

Given the stakes of this game, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Jose Gomes with both sides going all out in search of the win. Estrela's home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we fancy them to come away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Chaves win is 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Chaves
37.78% ( 0.1)	26.72% ( 0)	35.5% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 51.79% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

-0.01)

53.24% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

-0)

74.8% (

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

0.06)

27.35% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18% (

0.07)

62.81% (

-0.07)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

-0.06)

28.7% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47% (

-0.08)

64.53% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 37.77%

Chaves 35.5%

Draw 26.71%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.77%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.5%