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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Chaves

Estrela Amadora
1 - 1
Chaves

Tavares (45+5')
Vieira (27'), Santos (41'), Genezio (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hernandez (7')
Guimaraes (26'), Essugo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, February 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Boavista
Saturday, February 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Chaves

 Given the stakes of this game, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Jose Gomes with both sides going all out in search of the win. Estrela's home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we fancy them to come away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Chaves win is 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawChaves
37.78% (0.1 0.1) 26.72% (0.00099999999999767 0) 35.5% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.79% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)53.24% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)74.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.055000000000007 0.06)27.35% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (0.073 0.07)62.81% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)28.7% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)64.53% (0.080000000000013 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 37.77%
    Chaves 35.5%
    Draw 26.71%
Estrela AmadoraDrawChaves
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 37.77%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.5%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Chaves

Estrela Amadora
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Chaves
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Chaves
2-2
Estrela Amadora
Hernandez (85'), Pinho (90+4')
Nogueira (33'), Guimaraes (42'), Victor Ferreira de Jesus (51'), Vitoria (72')
Cordeiro (45+1'), Jaba (70')
Mansur (36'), Genezio (56'), Gaspar (90+10')
Mansur (90+7')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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