Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 24, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
2 - 2
Estrela Amadora

Hernandez (85'), Pinho (90+4')
Nogueira (33'), Guimaraes (42'), Victor Ferreira de Jesus (51'), Vitoria (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cordeiro (45+1'), Jaba (70')
Mansur (36'), Genezio (56'), Gaspar (90+10')
Mansur (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 4-1 Chaves
Monday, September 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Porto
Friday, September 15 at 7.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Chaves 2-1 Estrela Amadora

Chaves have endured a horror start to the new campaign and will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result. However, the Flavienses take on an inexperienced Estrela side who have struggled for results on the road and we fancy them snapping their losing streak this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Estrela Amadora
46.59% ( -0.1)	24.83% ( 0.02)	28.58% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 55.34% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5% (

-0.07)

47.5% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29% (

-0.06)

69.71% (

0.06)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

-0.07)

20.45% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

-0.12)

52.9% (

0.11)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56% (

0.02)

30.44% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35% (

0.03)

66.65% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Chaves 46.59%

Estrela Amadora 28.58%

Draw 24.83%

Chaves	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.59%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.83%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.58%