MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 23:58:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
Guimaraes


Reis (90+4'), Jaba (90+5'), Kikas (90+9')
Lopes (20'), Agostinho de Oliveira Vieira (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (24')
Carlos (19'), Gaspar (62'), Andre (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Celje (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 3 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Despite the excitement at Estrela's promotion, the new side are expected to suffer a defeat at the hands of Vitoria in the opening gameweek, with the Conquerors picking up their first road victory of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
31.16% (-0.408 -0.41) 26.54% (-0.087 -0.09) 42.3% (0.494 0.49)
Both teams to score 51.29% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (0.213 0.21)53.41% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (0.18 0.18)74.94% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (-0.175 -0.17)31.63% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96% (-0.201 -0.2)68.04% (0.202 0.2)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.34999999999999 0.35)24.98% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.486 0.49)59.63% (-0.486 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 31.16%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.3%
    Draw 26.54%
Estrela AmadoraDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 31.16%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 10.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.3%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Guimaraes

Estrela Amadora
25.0%
Draw
35.7%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
39.3%
28
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!