Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 27, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
3 - 0
Guimaraes

Taremi (8'), Otavio (32'), Evanilson (39')
Otavio (72'), Uribe (87')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Silva (40'), Freitas (44'), Tounkara (62'), Silva (71'), Sa (72'), Indio (89')
Handel (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 2-4 Porto
Saturday, May 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Porto 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Given the form of both sides ahead of Saturday's encounter, we are anticipating an entertaining contest with lots of goalmouth action. That said, we are backing Porto to carry the day come the end of the 90 minutes, although it remains to be seen if that would be enough for them to be crowned champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 12.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
69.21% ( 0.06)	18.03% ( -0.03)	12.76% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.99% (

0.05)

39.01% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.66% (

0.06)

61.33% (

-0.06)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.8% (

0.03)

10.2% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.51% (

0.07)

33.49% (

-0.06)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.06% (

-0.01)

41.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.62% (

-0.01)

78.38% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Porto 69.2%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 12.76%

Draw 18.03%

Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 11.14% 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 4.56% Total : 69.2%	1-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.03%	0-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 12.76%