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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Porto
3 - 0
Guimaraes

Taremi (8'), Otavio (32'), Evanilson (39')
Otavio (72'), Uribe (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Silva (40'), Freitas (44'), Tounkara (62'), Silva (71'), Sa (72'), Indio (89')
Handel (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-4 Porto
Saturday, May 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

 Given the form of both sides ahead of Saturday's encounter, we are anticipating an entertaining contest with lots of goalmouth action. That said, we are backing Porto to carry the day come the end of the 90 minutes, although it remains to be seen if that would be enough for them to be crowned champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 12.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
69.21% (0.059999999999988 0.06) 18.03% (-0.026 -0.03) 12.76% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.99% (0.055 0.05)39.01% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.66% (0.056999999999995 0.06)61.33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)10.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.51% (0.067000000000007 0.07)33.49% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.06% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.94% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)78.38% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Porto 69.2%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 12.76%
    Draw 18.03%
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 11.14%
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.37% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.84% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.21% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 69.2%
1-1 @ 8.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 12.76%

How you voted: Porto vs Guimaraes

Porto
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 8.30pm
gameweek 17
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Janvier (17'), Silva (57'), Luz (71'), Safira (87'), Amaro (90'), Nogueira (90+2')
Mario (45+2')
Otavio (35'), Pepe (41'), Wendell (47'), Marcano (81')
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
gameweek 29
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Estupinan (12'), Janvier (73'), Esteves (88'), Duarte (90+8'), Rochinha (90+8')
Estupinan (80')
Taremi (36' pen.)
Otavio (30'), Costa (90+2')
Nov 28, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 12
Porto
2-1
Guimaraes
Diaz (39'), Evanilson (60')
Sanusi (34'), Oliveira (45+4'), Wendell (80')
Edwards (36' pen.)
Amaro (11'), Handel (42'), Mumin (45+3'), Sacko (79'), Semedo (85')
Mumin (53')
Apr 22, 2021 9pm
gameweek 28
Porto
1-0
Guimaraes
Marega (49')
Mensah (55'), Marega (74')
Dec 29, 2020 9pm
gameweek 11
Guimaraes
2-3
Porto
Rochinha (7'), Estupinan (63')
Mensah (15'), Pepelu (26')
Taremi (42', 65'), Diaz (80')
Baro (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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