MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:58:47| >> :60:822:822:
Porto
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Famalicao logo

Porto
3 - 2
Famalicao

Galeno (28' pen.), Otavio (120+1'), Evanilson (120+4')
Pepe (30'), Conceicao (89'), Otavio (120+3')
Conceicao (120+3'), Conceicao (120+3')
FT
(aet)
Cadiz (21'), Jaime (75')
Dobre (26'), Colombatto (39'), Rodrigues (83'), Mihaj (100'), Penetra (108'), Moura (110'), Denilson (112')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Porto and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, April 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Famalicao

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, April 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Porto 2-0 Famalicao (Porto to win 4-1 on aggregate)

 With just a single goal between them from the first leg, there is very little to split the teams heading into this one, which promises to be closely contested. However, while Famalicao will be sure to provide a stern test for their opponents, it is likely that Porto will have too much quality in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.15%).

Result
PortoDrawFamalicao
75.1% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83) 15.91% (0.428 0.43) 8.99% (0.3989 0.4)
Both teams to score 45.79% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)40.1% (0.655 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (-0.68 -0.68)62.47% (0.682 0.68)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.93% (-0.351 -0.35)9.07% (0.3509 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.16% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)30.84% (0.85 0.85)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.36% (0.453 0.45)49.64% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.59% (0.313 0.31)84.41% (-0.31099999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Porto 75.08%
    Famalicao 8.99%
    Draw 15.91%
PortoDrawFamalicao
2-0 @ 12.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 10.37% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.23% (-0.221 -0.22)
4-1 @ 4.36% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.99% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.2% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 75.08%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.204 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 15.91%
0-1 @ 3.15% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.65% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 8.99%

How you voted: Porto vs Famalicao

Porto
80.0%
Draw
11.1%
Famalicao
8.9%
45
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 8.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Famalicao
1-2
Porto
Penetra (36')
Moura (45+1'), Pablo (80'), Otavio (90+1')
Marcano (16'), Martinez (63')
Grujic (31'), Otavio (44')
Jan 15, 2023 8.30pm
gameweek 16
Porto
4-1
Famalicao
Galeno (10', 21'), Otavio (42'), Taremi (48')
Galeno (36'), Wendell (44'), Marcano (55')
Fonte (52')
Junior (57')
Jan 23, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 19
Porto
3-1
Famalicao
Otavio (25'), Diaz (37'), Taremi (78' pen.)
Uribe (85')
Riccieli (90+1')
Riccieli (38'), Pepe (68'), De La Fuente (80'), Amarildo (90+6')
Aug 15, 2021 6pm
gameweek 2
Famalicao
1-2
Porto
Riccieli (56')
Rodrigues (62'), Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (64'), Pepe (74')
Martinez (13', 43')
Costa (62')
Apr 30, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 30
Porto
3-2
Famalicao
Martinez (8'), Taremi (61' pen.), Grujic (75')
Grujic (31')
Rodrigues (44'), Silva (90+1')
Queiros (56'), Figueiras (61'), Assuncao (73')
rhs 2.0
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