Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto1 - 0Portimonense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 0-0 Porto
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Porto 3-0 Portimonense
Porto have suffered a drop-off in form and will head into the weekend in search of a pick-me-up. The Dragoes take on a floundering Portimonense side who have lost their four outings and we predict that they will claim a comfortable home victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.42%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 4.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Portimonense |
85.42% ( 0.05) | 10.12% ( -0.03) | 4.46% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.28% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.9% ( 0.01) | 30.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.69% ( 0.01) | 51.31% ( -0.02) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.13% ( 0.01) | 4.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.41% ( 0.03) | 19.59% ( -0.03) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.44% ( -0.08) | 55.56% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.79% ( -0.05) | 88.21% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 85.41%
Portimonense 4.46%
Draw 10.12%
| Porto | Draw | Portimonense |
| 3-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.53% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.34% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 85.41% | 1-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 10.12% | 0-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 4.46% |
How you voted: Porto vs Portimonense
Porto
93.1%Draw
6.9%Portimonense
0.0%29
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Form Guide
