Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.42%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 4.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Portimonense |
85.42% ( 0.05) | 10.12% ( -0.03) | 4.46% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 42.28% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.9% ( 0.01) | 30.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.69% ( 0.01) | 51.31% ( -0.02) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.13% ( 0.01) | 4.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.41% ( 0.03) | 19.59% ( -0.03) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.44% ( -0.08) | 55.56% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.79% ( -0.05) | 88.21% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Portimonense |
3-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.53% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 85.41% | 1-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 10.12% | 0-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 4.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Benfica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
12 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |