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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Portimonense

Porto
1 - 0
Portimonense

Cardoso (30')
Cardoso (34'), Marcano (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ventura (52'), Rochez (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 0-0 Porto
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Portimonense

Porto have suffered a drop-off in form and will head into the weekend in search of a pick-me-up. The Dragoes take on a floundering Portimonense side who have lost their four outings and we predict that they will claim a comfortable home victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.42%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawPortimonense
85.42% (0.046000000000006 0.05) 10.12% (-0.026 -0.03) 4.46% (-0.0229 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.28% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.1% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.69% (0.012 0.01)51.31% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)4.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.41% (0.030000000000001 0.03)19.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.44% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)55.56% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.79% (-0.048 -0.05)88.21% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Porto 85.41%
    Portimonense 4.46%
    Draw 10.12%
PortoDrawPortimonense
3-0 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 9.4% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 5.68% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 3.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-0 @ 2.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
7-0 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 85.41%
1-1 @ 4.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 10.12%
0-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 4.46%

How you voted: Porto vs Portimonense

Porto
93.1%
Draw
6.9%
Portimonense
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Apr 16, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
7-0
Portimonense
Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')
Dec 3, 2021 7pm
Portimonense
0-3
Porto

Portugal (45+4'), Luquinhas (59'), Willyan (77')
Sa (45+3' og.), Vitinha (70'), Otavio (75')
Uribe (54')
Mar 20, 2021 6pm
Portimonense
1-2
Porto
Cande (64')
Dener (26'), Willyan (45+1'), Sergio (67'), Beto (71'), Antonio (71')
Sergio (68'), Sa (90+6')
Possignolo (45+1' og.), Portugal Lima (67' og.)
Conceicao (67'), Marchesin (71'), Oliveira (90')
Conceicao (68')
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Porto
3-1
Portimonense
Mbemba (45+2'), Taremi (46'), Oliveira (89')
Oliveira (56'), Corona (62'), Mbemba (74')
Beto (14')
Antonio (65'), Dener (75'), Cesar (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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