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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Portimonense

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Portimonense

Silva (22')
Bamba (73'), Silva (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedrao (45+4'), Alves (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Portimonense

 After a disappointing start to the year, Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and head into the weekend as slight favourites to grab the desired results. While Portimonense appear to have hit their stride once again, we are backing the hosts to come out on top this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
57.39% (0.074999999999996 0.07) 24.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 18.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (0.028000000000006 0.03)55.8% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (0.023 0.02)76.93% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (0.066000000000003 0.07)51.11% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)44.85% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)80.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.38%
    Portimonense 18.14%
    Draw 24.46%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.41% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 18.14%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Portimonense

Vitoria de Guimaraes
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Portimonense
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 8.30pm
Portimonense
2-1
Guimaraes
Junior (62'), Cariello (88')
Estrela (44'), Moufi (45+2'), Pedrao (84'), Ewerton (90')
Silva (46')
Varela (84'), Janvier (90+6')
Jan 17, 2022 8.15pm
Portimonense
1-1
Guimaraes
Oliveira (85')
Moufi (48'), Oliveira (54'), Possignolo (65'), Carlinhos (90+5')
Luz (34')
Sa (43'), Ferreira (45'), Rochinha (54'), Amaro (76'), Lameiras (83')
Aug 8, 2021 3.30pm
Guimaraes
0-1
Portimonense

Fernandes (31'), Bucancil Nabian (86')
Beto (86')
Beto (49'), Moufi (80'), Rosa Santos (90+11')
Apr 9, 2021 8pm
Portimonense
3-0
Guimaraes
Possignolo (5'), Dener (64' pen.), Beto (67')
Willyan (56'), Seung-woo (89')

Mumin (35'), Lameiras (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3.30pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Portimonense
Andre (32')
Silvio (18'), Mumin (27'), Pepelu (65'), Quaresma (82'), Maddox (90+4'), Janvier (90+4')

Possignolo (29'), Sa (43'), Dener (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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