Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Portimonense

Silva (22')
Bamba (73'), Silva (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedrao (45+4'), Alves (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Portimonense

After a disappointing start to the year, Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and head into the weekend as slight favourites to grab the desired results. While Portimonense appear to have hit their stride once again, we are backing the hosts to come out on top this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Portimonense
57.39% ( 0.07)	24.46% ( -0.02)	18.14% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 44.48% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.19% (

0.03)

55.8% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.07% (

0.02)

76.93% (

-0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66% (

0.04)

19.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

0.07)

51.11% (

-0.07)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.14% (

-0.04)

44.85% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.18% (

-0.04)

80.82% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.38%

Portimonense 18.14%

Draw 24.46%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.68% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.14%