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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Portimonense

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Portimonense

Silva (22')
Bamba (73'), Silva (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedrao (45+4'), Alves (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Portimonense

After a disappointing start to the year, Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and head into the weekend as slight favourites to grab the desired results. While Portimonense appear to have hit their stride once again, we are backing the hosts to come out on top this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
57.39% (0.074999999999996 0.07) 24.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 18.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (0.028000000000006 0.03)55.8% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (0.023 0.02)76.93% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (0.066000000000003 0.07)51.11% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)44.85% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)80.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.38%
    Portimonense 18.14%
    Draw 24.46%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.41% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 18.14%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Portimonense

Vitoria de Guimaraes
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Portimonense
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 8.30pm
Portimonense
2-1
Guimaraes
Junior (62'), Cariello (88')
Estrela (44'), Moufi (45+2'), Pedrao (84'), Ewerton (90')
Silva (46')
Varela (84'), Janvier (90+6')
Jan 17, 2022 8.15pm
Portimonense
1-1
Guimaraes
Oliveira (85')
Moufi (48'), Oliveira (54'), Possignolo (65'), Carlinhos (90+5')
Luz (34')
Sa (43'), Ferreira (45'), Rochinha (54'), Amaro (76'), Lameiras (83')
Aug 8, 2021 3.30pm
Guimaraes
0-1
Portimonense

Fernandes (31'), Bucancil Nabian (86')
Beto (86')
Beto (49'), Moufi (80'), Rosa Santos (90+11')
Apr 9, 2021 8pm
Portimonense
3-0
Guimaraes
Possignolo (5'), Dener (64' pen.), Beto (67')
Willyan (56'), Seung-woo (89')

Mumin (35'), Lameiras (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3.30pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Portimonense
Andre (32')
Silvio (18'), Mumin (27'), Pepelu (65'), Quaresma (82'), Maddox (90+4'), Janvier (90+4')

Possignolo (29'), Sa (43'), Dener (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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