Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.