Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.